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314 U Step 5 Build Your Test-Taking Confidence
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38 Let X be the number of points awarded for winning a game that has the following probability distribution: X P(X ) 0 02 2 05 3 03 39 Each of the following histograms represents a simulation of a sampling distribution for an estimator of a population parameter The true value of the parameter is X, as shown on the scale The domain of possible outcomes is the same for each estimator and the frequency axes (not shown) are the same Which histogram represents the best estimator of X a
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Let Y be the random variable whose sum is the number of points that results from two independent repetitions of the game Which of the following is the probability distribution for Y a Y P(Y ) b Y P(Y ) c Y P(Y ) d Y P(Y) e Y 0 2 3 4 5 6 P(Y ) 004 010 006 025 015 009 0 2 3 4 5 6 004 02 012 025 03 009 0 02 2 3 4 6 0 02 4 05 6 03 0 02 2 05 3 03
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025 015 025 015
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40 A weight-loss clinic claims an average weight loss over 3 months of at least 15 pounds A random sample of 50 of the clinic s patrons shows a mean weight loss of 14 pounds with a standard deviation of 28 pounds Assuming the distribution of weight losses is approximately normally distributed, what is the most appropriate test for this situation, the value of the test statistic, and the associated P-value a b c d e z-test; z = 253; P-value = 00057 t-test; t = 253; 001 < P-value < 002 z-test; z = 253; P-value = 00057 t-test; t = 253; 0005 < P-value < 001 z-test; z = 253; P-value = 09943
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END OF SECTION I
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AP Statistics Practice Exam 1 315
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AP Statistics Practice Exam 1
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SECTION II
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Time: 1 hour and 30 minutes Number of problems: 6 Percentage of total grade: 50
General Instructions
There are two parts to this section of the examination Part A consists of five equally weighted problems that represent 75% of the total weight of this section Spend about 65 minutes on this part of the exam Part B consists of one longer problem that represents 25% of the total weight of this section Spend about 25 minutes on this part of the exam You are not necessarily expected to complete all parts of every question Statistical tables and formulas are provided Be sure to write clearly and legibly If you make an error, you may save time by crossing it out rather than trying to erase it Erased or crossed-out work will not be graded Show all your work Indicate clearly the methods you use because you will be graded on the correctness of your methods as well as the accuracy of your final answers Correct answers without support work may not receive credit
Statistics, Section II, Part A, Questions 1 5
Spend about 65 minutes on this part of the exam; percentage of Section II grade: 75 Directions: Show all your work Indicate clearly the methods you use because you will be graded on the correctness of your methods as well as on the accuracy of your results and explanation 1 David was comparing the number of vocabulary words children know about transportation at various ages He fit a least-squares regression line to the data The residual plot and part of the computer output for the regression are given below
x x 00 RESID 12 36 48 x x 60 72 x
Predictor Constant Age s = 09710
Coef 3371 21143
St Dev 1337 02321
t ratio 252 911
P 065 001
R-sq = 954%
R-sq(adj) = 943%
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316 U Step 5 Build Your Test-Taking Confidence
a Is a line an appropriate model for these data Explain b What is the equation of the least-square regression line for predicting the number of words from age c What is the predicted number of words for a child of 75 years of age d Interpret the slope of the regression line in the context of the problem e Would it be appropriate to use the model to predict the number of words a 12-yearold would know 2 Students at DotCom Tech are allowed to sign up for one math class each semester The numbers in each grade level signing up for various classes for next semester are given in the following table
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