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THE WIRELESS CONSUMER
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SMS seem primitive in just a few years Collaborative messaging, a step in this bold new direction, has already arrived The popularity of instant messaging is quickly growing in the wireless space
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Computing Can Give Insights into Wireless Future
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We have only begun to imagine what applications can be enhanced or created using an anytime, anywhere mentality Mired in what we know, there is a natural gestation period required for technologists to become facile with features and subtleties of the wireless world As mentioned in 2, needs and technology collaboratively push each other The first generation of applications, as described in 4, are useful to enterprises and deliver competitive advantage, market reach, revenue generation, and cost savings Yet it is fair to say that wireless applications are initiatory and will mature considerably in the next few years This can be stated quite emphatically given a number of parallels in the recent history of computing: PC applications at first directly mimicked mainframe applications In 1981, when IBM introduced the PC, it entered the computing landscape not as a standalone computer so much as an appendage to the mainframe Granted it was offered by IBM who dominated the computing industry at that time with its big iron However, what kept the PC within the gravity of the mainframe was the lack of pull to move it away It was easy to see how to make the PC an expensive terminal by using its flexibility to place add-in cards for attaching coax cables and running 3270 emulation software What wasn t as easy was to know how to use the PC as a PC This is a natural trend for new technologies, especially disruptive technologies, as they are often erroneously force-fitted into existing paradigms Only human creativity envisages new application types for disruptive technology, and this creativity evolves after the new technology is born With new applications, a broader sense of utility and practicality is created
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THE WIRELESS CONSUMER
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Reviewing their growth in popularity, PCs did not flourish in the beginning IBM talked about them as mainframe terminals as appendages to the core mainstream technology of the day This is a common strategy: new technology is named (and hence belittled) by existing technology As such, the first PCs were very expensive and not exploited since terminals rely on the server (mainframe) for almost all of their processing (application logic, workflow, database, are all executed on the server) While this centralized processing approach is appropriate for an inexpensive terminal (called dumb terminals because they lacked processing capabilities and cost only $400 circa 1982 compared to an IBM PC XT that cost $3,500), a distributed processing model is much more in-line with the rich capabilities PCs have to offer It took a few years, but spreadsheets and word processing quickly took hold (the parallel in today s wireless data world is messaging) and spawned a generation of new thinking about what a PC could do, both standalone and interconnected with other PCs and servers This helped create applications such as gaming and animation, which emphasized the rich graphic capabilities of the PC The natural evolution of wireless applications is for them to find themselves and to establish their merit as a new class of applications As with the PC, there will be merit in standalone wireless applications as well as applications that inter-operate with landline applications Wireless devices are evolving from a wired paradigm It will take time for them to evolve as well to be truly wireless Remember, disruptive technologies do some things better (or different) than their predecessors In the case of the PC, although its processing power was dwarfed by that of the mainframe, the PC s graphic capabilities were far better With more colors and greater graphic speed in rendering shapes, applications such as drafting (2D) and solids modeling (3D) moved from mainframes to PCs as the processing power of the PCs increased to make the necessary computations Similarly, wireless devices are portable this is their one significant differentiation that helps them to be disruptive If they are to reach the mainstream they will need to improve in many ways Laptops are a perfect example When introduced, laptops were purchased for the mobile user The devices
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