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a nice car I wrote a newsletter and lectured I never expected to end up in life where I am now He attributes his ability to create indicators to seeing the world differently than other people I started as an art major in college, so I m a very visual person Because of my art background I ve been trained to look and see patterns While the average person might see a graph, I see colors and shades and bugs crawling around It s not that I m gifted; I was fortunate enough to be trained He remembers asking a friend about a list he saw of the most active stocks in the newspaper What does this mean I asked my friend He told me that if you bought a stock yesterday, today you would have made $100 Back in 1962, $100 was like a thousand dollars today So I told him, You mean if I do this I don t have to go to work That s for me! It looked so easy Well, I ve been working hard at it ever since Although Williams creates mathematical indicators, he insists he s not a mathematician He notes that I m primarily a trader who is attracted to that $1 to $2 a day People have probably written more about my indicators than I ever did The reason he created his indicators was to help determine when the market was overbought or oversold on a short-term basis I was just trying to survive, he remembers
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Although the goal of many indicators is to predict future market behavior, Williams is cautious Predicting is a tough business, he says, while admitting he s created a few indicators with predictive power I also do a lot of forecasting work based on market cycles, he says There are harmonics of price that do tend to carry into the future An oversimplification, he says, would be to study 10- to 13-year cycles within longer-term 100-year cycles It s been pretty accurate, he notes, calling it a road map of what should take place in the future Because Williams sees things visually, he trades based on what s in front of him Actually, there are 28 relationships between yesterday s closing price and today s closing price, he says Most people haven t taken the time to figure those out, let alone see them
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Although Williams is known for his technical indicators, he also believes fundamentals are important Charts don t move the markets, he points out Remembering a logic class he took in college, A can t predict A Therefore, Williams says it is illogical to assume that price can predict price It s important, therefore, to understand the bigger picture What Williams did learn about indicators is that they ultimately measure human emotion It s like what Pavlov did with the salivating dogs, he says If markets move up so much, there s a point where the human mind says, Aha! I want to buy that That s the nature of how humans are wired He explains that many indicators show you what the crowd and the trend are doing The indicators are a symptom that gives you a clearer view of what s going on now I don t know if the technical indicators are that predictive, but they show you where you are If you look at price itself, that s as deceptive as a Hollywood starlet You don t know what the hell is going on So we need indicators to give us a better view of whether this is a Hollywood starlet or a real queen
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