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time The interviewer asked me, What do you call those bands I actually didn t have a name for them, so I said, My trading bands Then I quickly blurted out, Bollinger Bands And that s how they got named
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It has amazed Bollinger the creative ways that people, including many option traders, have used his indicator People have reported using it in ways that I never imagined, he marvels I have received some tremendously good ideas from people who call in and say, Guess what I m doing with the Bollinger Bands And I reply, Oh really That s interesting, I hadn t thought of that one yet! He admits his greatest joy in creating the indicators is the input he receives from other people who find original ways to use the bands Perhaps the most surprising use of his indicator was from a man who approached him while at a conference in Japan Bollinger explains: He showed me a graph in which he had plotted the Bollinger Bands on the equity line of a trading system I told him, That s smart! After that, I spent a lot of time using Bollinger Bands inside trading systems on the equity curves as an asset allocation mechanism One of the reasons that Bollinger Bands have remained popular is that they easily adapt to market conditions, he says The components of Bollinger Bands are trend and volatility These are essential market forces And they are depicted in a manner that is intuitively easy for people to grasp He has seen all types of traders use his indicator, from people with no financial background to sophisticated mathematicians Other people have tried to create adaptive trading bands but none has worked as well, he notes You reach for the tool that works well If you have a nail and a board, you reach for the hammer, even if there are other tools lying around
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Bollinger explains what his indicator actually does: Bollinger Bands primarily tell you whether prices are high or low on a relative basis Their best usage is to generate trading setups that can be
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used to calculate the probabilities that can then be acted upon They create places where there is a high probability of success When you find one of these places, you act at that time What they don t do, he cautions, is provide continuous advice: Can you look at any given point in time at Bollinger Bands and know what to do The answer, at least in my practice, is no He says that Bollinger Bands are not forecasting tools They can t predict, for example, what the Dow will do on a certain date Nevertheless, he acknowledges that within the Bollinger Band setups there are obvious targets and obvious projections that can be made It s especially useful to see whether a setup is working or not But I wouldn t call that market forecasting One phenomenon that is unique to Bollinger Bands is that it tends to stay overbought or oversold for long time periods We call that a walk up the bands, he explains, or a walk down the bands It s perfectly normal In fact, that is the sort of activity that is expected in a trending market You may have to go for a long time, or a very short time, before you find a usable setup If someone gets impatient because there s no immediate buy or sell signal, he suggests it s a failure of the person, not the tool He adds: The biggest mistake that people make with my indicator is they assume that any tag of the upper band is an automatic sell, and that any tag of the lower band is an automatic buy That s completely wrong Another problem is that people get fixated on certain signals even though the market is going against them As a result, they go through a lot of pain The key, Bollinger says, is to be flexible Think of these trading bands as a component of a system analysis that also includes trend and sentiment information It s more useful to think of my trading bands as part of a whole trading system rather than try to be too simplistic
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