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This means starting small, calculating a stock s risk-reward before entering, and using less money to make more money 6 Determine your risk intolerance Before entering the market, you must be prepared to lose before you can win Being a trader means subjecting yourself to emotional pain Here s a quick risk tolerance test: What bothers you more, losing $1,000 or losing the opportunity to make $1,000 Your answer will help determine how much pain you can take when the markets unravel
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My next guest, Brett Steenbarger, a trading psychologist, author, and professor, agreed to share his creative insights and knowledge about using various market indicators with short-term trading strategies
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Trading Psychologist Brett Steenbarger and Psychiatrist Alexander Elder, Creator of the Force Index
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Steenbarger s Favorite Indicators 1 20-day New High New Low 2 52-week New High New Low 3 Advance-Decline Line 4 NYSE TICK 5 CBOE Put/Call Ratio
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UNDERSTANDING WHAT INDICATORS CAN DO
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As a trading psychologist, Brett Steenbarger relies on various indicators for long-term trading and short-term trading, and he even developed a few of his own He also spends a lot of time educating people on how to use them properly He says that although indicators give clues, contrary to what many people think, they are not a crystal ball The goal of an indicator is to help people understand what is currently going on in the market, Steenbarger explains Indicators can tell you which way the wind is blowing Although they provide useful information, in and of themselves they are not predictive It s like the dashboard in your car, which is very helpful but won t necessarily predict the miles per hour your car might be a mile down the road
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ALL ABOUT MARKET INDICATORS
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What indicators can do, Steenbarger explains, is to tell when a market is overbought and getting weak, and when a market is oversold and getting stronger And that can lead to better decisions for traders to invest If people really want to get started with indicators, they should observe them over time and see how they behave relative to the overall market and to individual stocks As you follow these indicators you will recognize a recurring pattern, and this will be helpful in your decision making The goal, he says, is to take the time to learn everything about the indicator you choose, including learning all its nuances, both positive and negative
THE 20-DAY NEW HIGH NEW LOW
Steenbarger has personally found a number of indicators to be extremely helpful The first indicator I look at is the number of stocks making new highs versus the number of stocks making new lows, he says But unlike the standard New High New Low indicator, which measures how many stocks have made 52-week lows, I want to see how many stocks have made 20-day new highs versus 20-day new lows He looks at both a short and intermediate time frame I want to see if a broad list of stocks is participating in a market move, Steenbarger explains If a lot of stocks are participating, then there could be some legs behind that move If a smaller number of stocks are participating, then you ll see other stocks falling back and rolling over Steenbarger says that in a strong market that is going up, there will be a point when a maximum number of stocks have hit their 20-day highs, perhaps as many as 3,000 stocks Then the market will keep going up in price terms, but few stocks will participate First you might see 2,500 stocks making 20-day highs, then maybe 1,600 So more stocks will drop off of the new high list even as the broad indexes such as the S&P 500 make new highs For example, as the market topped out in 2007, fewer stocks were participating on the upside while others made new lows Because the S&P 500 is weighted more toward larger stocks, he says, the large-cap stocks could make new highs while the
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