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Myth: Blu-ray Is Revolutionary
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The printing press was revolutionary Television was revolutionary Even CDs can be considered revolutionary because they were a completely new way of storing digital audio and computer data on a compact optical disc But Blu-ray is fundamentally an evolution from DVD, which was itself an evolution of CD and a refinement of Video CD Sure, Blu-ray provides unprecedented ability to interact with video, but this is merely taking DVD to the next level BD-Live features, such as, Internet-based updates of actor information and dubbing in new downloaded audio tracks are very cool, but most of these were pioneered by InterActual and others using PC playback of DVD Blu-ray technology is remarkable, and can be used for some impressive things controlling movie playback from an iPhone or sending e-mail between Blu-ray players but it is not a radically different, or an even mildly disruptive, technology
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Myth: Blu-ray Will Fail
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Early in the lifecycle of DVD, herds of pundits predicted that it would be a flop, joining the ranks of other neglected consumer electronic innovations such as quadraphonic sound, the 8-track tape, the Tandy/Microsoft VIS, and the digital compact cassette It is safe to say, at this point, that those people should not take up careers as fortune tellers
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Blu-ray Disc Demystified
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As the wheel turns for a new technology cycle, even more couch prognosticators have predicted that Blu-ray will fail They argue that it is too little too late, that people are turning to the Internet and VOD (video on demand) for content, or that most people are happy with DVD and will not bother moving up to Blu-ray Some even claim that because Sony was responsible for such failures as Betamax, MiniDisc (in some countries), SACD, and UMD, it has branded a large L on the forehead of Blu-ray Of course, these Sony-smearers neglect to mention the Trinitron TV, Walkman, CD, and DVD It is true that the window of opportunity for new technology grows smaller all the time, as evidenced by such not-quite-failures as S-VHS, DVD-Audio, and DualDisc, and it is true that Blu-ray is not as big a step up as DVD was from VHS, but Blu-ray simply has too much behind it to fail It will probably not achieve the massive success of DVD, which begat over a billion playback devices around the world in less than a decade and transformed the world of home video, but by almost any measure, Blu-ray is and will continue to be a success In its first year of existence it sold more players and discs than DVD did in its first year Granted, Blu-ray had the PlayStation 3 to thank for beating DVD player numbers, and it is riding the coattails of DVD, but that is one of the very reasons for its inevitable success Dozens of the world s biggest consumer electronics companies and computer companies provide Blu-ray products And the shift from standard definition to high definition will ineluctably pull Bluray along with it
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Myth: We ll Soon Get Everything From the Internet and Discs Will Go the Way of Dinosaurs
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Change soon to eventually, a few decades after the introduction of Blu-ray, and, well, it s still a myth It is reasonable to expect that more and more video in homes and workplaces will be delivered over the Internet Short-format video (think YouTube and news clips) will make the transition sooner than long-format video In the very long run people will watch more movies and other video from the Internet than from disc But physical media will not become marginalized before 2020 at the earliest and will not disappear for decades after that See the concluding section of 13, Blu-ray and Beyond for an analysis that makes this clear
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Myth: Some Discs Won t Play If the Player Doesn t Have an Internet Connection
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This fable stems from the BD-Live feature that provides for additional content over an Internet connection Not all Blu-ray players have an Internet connection, but discs that incorporate enhanced features, such as picture in picture, are designed to disable those features if the player cannot support them It is possible to design a disc so it will not work if there is no Internet connection, but only lunatics or sadists would intentionally do this Most of the content on every disc, such as the main feature, plays fine on every Blu-ray player
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