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The analysis of information warfare attacks on individual companies, industry sectors, or national economies presented in this chapter shows that potential economic impact of attacks could be very severe This potential impact means that information warfare is far more important to the private sector than may have been projected in the past, which means information warfare needs to be viewed as something that is more than just a military activity or concern The business and economic development community needs to understand the potential economic impact of information warfare and prepare accordingly Important concepts and principles that can help realistically broaden this understanding are as follows
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Measuring the Economic Impact of Information Warfare
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Conclusions on the Economic Impact of Information Warfare
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Several important conclusions about the potential economic impact of information warfare attacks can be drawn from the analysis presented in this chapter: 8 There are three types of economic impact that result from information warfare attacks: immediate, short-term, and long-term Determining the immediate economic impact of information warfare attacks is far less complicated than determining long-term impacts 8 The immediate economic impact from information warfare attacks occurs during the first few days of attacks, whether or not the attacks subside or continue The short-term economic impact is what occurs over the first few weeks of sustained or random attacks The long-term economic impact is the result of sustained attacks over weeks or months, or the aftermath of massive attacks that have ceased 8 The wholesale goods, retail, consumer electronics, and computer sectors have already become very dependent on automated supply chain systems, and the automotive industry is working to build an industry-wide supply chain system The electronic supply chain systems have provided incredible benefits for these sectors, but it is also making them more vulnerable to sabotage and weaker in the face of information warfare attacks 8 Dot-coms are the most vulnerable commercial enterprise during information warfare attacks because many are solely dependent on their information technology to conduct business 8 Long-term information warfare attacks will result in a substantial loss of business, decline in stock prices, the destruction of market value, and the decline of value of investment funds Such attacks could certainly delay further investment in specific companies or industry sectors 8 The long-term loss of business that can result from offensive ruinous information warfare or sustained terrorist information warfare attacks is the most serious economic issue that businesses face 8 Stock prices and market valuation of companies in information warfare zones (or those attacked by rogues or terrorists) could be severely and negatively impacted
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Information Warfare: How to Survive Cyber Attacks
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8 Investment funds that hold ownership or stock in companies or groups of companies in regions that suffer from information warfare attacks will experience a decline in fund value Such funds could suffer from long-term instability resulting in a decline in reputation and could have difficulties in attracting new investors
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An Agenda for Action in the Analysis of the Economic Impact of Information Warfare
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To deal with the potential economic impact of information warfare attacks, governments, private companies, insurers, and investors need to set an agenda for action that enables them to respond and minimize economic damages in the event of attacks Action steps should include, but not be limited to the following areas: 8 Governments need to establish legal definitions of information warfare to guide the financial community in establishing terms and conditions of liability, responsibility for damage, insurance coverage, and tax deductions that could be debated in the event of information warfare attacks 8 Private companies need to develop strategies in advance to protect the value of their assets, the price of their stock, and their market valuation 8 Insurers need to develop policy language that identifies what an information warfare attack is comprised of and the economic loss or damages insurance will cover when an information warfare attack occurs 8 Investors, both individual and institutional, need to develop strategies to minimize the economic impact of information warfare on the value of their holdings
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