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tapes put in every office in his accounting department If he happened to leave his desk to go into the accounting area, he didn't want to risk missing any important trades Jesse Livermore and Gerald Loeb of E F Hutton always watched the tape And of course, specialists on the floor of the New York Stock
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For one thing, a 20,000-share trade in a $50 stock on a ^g-point uptick from the prior trade represents a transaction involving $1 million (20,000 X $50) The assumption is that some buyer is willing to pay up three-eighths of a point to buy the slock Because of the size you can also be pretty certain it isn't your Aunt Sue down the street buying, but probably a more informed buyer Before you decide you've discovered an easy way to make money solely by shadowing the ticker tape, let me assure you again the obvious
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Exchange have tapes all throughout the Main Room, the Blue Room,
and the Garage, as the different trading areas are called All transactions are supposed to be flashed on the ticker tape about
three minutes after the trade actually occurs on the floor of the stock
exchange Sometimes, however, the volume of trading is so heavy even the high-speed tickers can't keep up with the activity, and the tape falls behind This is called a late tape and it might be a more questionable time to buy or sell because it is sometimes harder to know what the actual prices are on the floor at the time you enter your orders
Separating Leaders from Laggards, via the Tape
Competent, experienced tape readers can weed out the stock leaders from the feeble, laggard stocks in the market How is this done After declining for several weeks, a market will finally turn and start to rebound The observant tape reader will notice which stocks are the first ones to begin the rally The good tape student will also see which stock is drawing the largest quantity of buying, in terms of the size and volume of transactions He or she will notice which equities move up with the greatest ease If very good, the tape reader will probably be able to spot the true leader in the market Other stocks that are the last to respond in a rally, or stocks that only trade light volume, are more sluggish and are the laggard movers to avoid During short-term declines in a bull market, the tape reader may watch for stocks that for some reason persistently resist selling off along with the rest of the market The tape analyst looks for a sudden pickup in volume and activity in a stock previously quiet and inactive They always look for the unusual activity The best tape readers are concerned more with volume in a stock than with just watching the price Several 20,000-share trades in a company's stock are much more significant than a hodgepodge of 200- and 300-share trades
investors are influenced by big trades appearing on upticks, so don't get too carried away with what could be a well-advertised tape trap The real problem with tape analysis is the tape reflects all trading, good and bad Not all of the action you see on the tape is good, sound, correct buying Professionals who deal in big blocks buy a large number of mediocre or poor stocks, or good stocks at the wrong time So, it becomes a question of sifting the white elephants from the smart buying Market manipulation by program traders also distorts prices
Tape Reading Is Too Exciting and Emotional
Another problem with tape watching is it is positively too exciting and emotional It requires constant discipline to avoid being swept along with the rampant fever when a stock keeps advancing until you're convinced it's going to go "straight through the roof" When you get this feeling in the pit of your stomach, the stock is probably topping, since it will also look fantastic to everyone else When it is that obvious, almost everyone has bought that can buy Remember, the majority, or crowd, opinion is rarely right in the stock market If you sit by the ticker tape too much, you just get too close to the forest to see the trees And above all, the most important things a winner must have in the stock market are perspective, discipline, and self-control
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