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Now that we ve discussed portfolio killers and some strategies for wise investing, take a look at your accounts Do you find that you seem to be dumping lump sums into the market only to see the market go down Are you investing little by little Or are you trying to time the market I have a client who came to see me for the first time during the summer of 2000 He joked that he was bad luck because, he said, every time he and his wife invested more money in the market, immediately it would go down He even said that maybe we should call our other clients and warn them! Even though his outlook was that the market would go down after his money was invested (and, for the record, the market did go down), he continued to invest his money He knew, as all wise investors do, that to not be invested is a far greater mistake than to invest at the wrong time I ve said it before, but it s worth repeating No one knows what the market will do for sure The experts can speculate all they want based on prior performance, but that doesn t mean that the market is going to follow its past trends If you are afraid that once you invest your money the market will go down, try using the DCA method And if the market does go down, hold your position
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PAPER LOSS VERSUS ACTUAL LOSS
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There is a difference between your account value going down and losing money Many people don t understand this concept Basically,
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when the market goes down, equity investment values go down To most investors, this is troubling To others, it s not This is why: The loss is only on paper I have clients who will call during a down market and tell me that they are losing money and that they don t want to lose any more What they fail to understand is that there is no real loss until they sell, or liquidate, their position in the security A few months after taxes for the year 2000 were due, I met with a married couple who are clients of mine They, like others, were concerned about the stock market s performance They told me that they had lost money on their funds and wondered why they couldn t claim the loss for their taxes I took a look at their account statements and saw that they hadn t taken any money out of their nonqualified (regular) accounts; they had only taken money out of their IRA accounts I explained to them that because the loss for their nonqualified accounts was only on paper, they couldn t claim it Plus, the loss they showed for their IRA accounts couldn t be considered because the money was put in there on a pretax basis I told them that if they had sold some of their nonqualified mutual funds during the year, they would have been able to take the loss For example, you purchase $40,000 of the XYZ Value Fund After a few quarters of positive growth, you receive your statement and see that your investment is now worth $45,000 However, then the market begins to decline Your next statement shows your investment value at $42,500 This is still a net paper gain of $2500 from your original investment But then the next quarter shows a drop of $4000, bringing your investment value down to $38,500 You have a paper loss of $1500 This isn t an actual loss until you sell your fund If you were to cash out of your position at that point (thus, receiving $38,500 for your fund), you would have an actual loss of $1500 But if you don t, and you hold your position in the XYZ Value Fund, you have only a paper loss
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Initial investment = $40,000 Market goes up; account value = $45,000 paper gain of $5000 Market goes down; account value = $42,500 paper gain of $2500 Market goes down; account value = $38,500 paper loss of $1500 Sell the fund for $38,500 actual loss of $1,500
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This is what many people don t understand, and is one of the reasons why money is such an emotional thing For this reason, I recommend that during a bear market, clients don t look at their accounts on a regular basis Many clients of mine like to check out the markets on CNBC, as well as their accounts, every day Even during a bull market, when account values are consistently going up, this isn t a healthy practice
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