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Fig 5-7 Growth Characteristics: Value versus Growth Stocks* As this table indicates, value-oriented stocks exhibit slower growth rates when it comes to both earnings and revenues
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Type of Income 1-year 1-year 1-year 3-year 3-year 3-year revenue: net income: EPS: revenue: net income: EPS:
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Value Stocks 14% 297% 244% 23% 74% 44%
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Growth Stocks 307% 610% 516% 368% 293% 211%
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*As of March 31, 2004 Source: Morningstar
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Fig 5-8
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Annual Performance: Value vs Growth Stocks
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Year 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994
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Source: Morningstar
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Value Stocks 3206% 1593% 202% 1312% 597% 774% 2778% 2051% 3155% 076%
Growth Stocks 3466% 2748% 1792% 826% 5129% 2173% 2264% 1877% 3306% 151%
Again, it goes back to the price you re willing to pay for an asset, and at what stage of that growth you want to be a buyer Equity investing is all about anticipation There s an old saying in the markets: Buy on the rumor and sell on the news Well, value investors buy in anticipation of a potential turnaround in a company and sell once the company gets its act together and starts to perform In this sense, value investors are like contractors who are willing to buy dilapidated houses if the prices are right They then step in, x them, and sell them at far higher prices once the homes are in good working condition A growth investor, on the other hand, only wants stocks that are already in pristine condition This tells us a couple of things about value stocks and value investors: First, just as there is a continuum of sorts between small and large stocks with
PART 2 Your Assets
small stocks eventually growing into large ones value stocks, if successful, will eventually turn into growth stocks if management can turn things around This means value investors, like growth stock investors, enjoy capital appreciation based on earnings The only di erence is, value stock investors nd earnings growth potential early and pro t as the stock price appreciates in anticipation of that turn Growth investors nd growth stocks well after they ve already shown signs of earnings performance and as a result, they pay higher prices Going back to an earlier chapter, we discussed a couple of favorite ways that investors gauge the relative price of a stock One is to judge its price based on the underlying company s earnings This is called a stock s P/E ratio The other is to consider a stock s price relative to the company s book value, which is referred to as a stock s P/B ratio Consider how much cheaper value stocks can be, relative to growth, as shown in Figure 5-9 Value investors tend to make money on this gap buying something when it s down and out and getting out once the company is back on its feet Value investors also tend to make money in a couple of di erent ways: 1 On dividend income Value stocks, because they are down and out, often need to prove their worth to skeptical investors One way they do that is by returning a greater portion of their pro ts back to shareholders in the form of dividend income The average dividend yield of value stocks at the start of 2004 was 14 percent, while the average dividend yield of large-cap value stocks was 24 (Large stocks, because they are established, also tend to pay out higher dividend yields than small stocks) In contrast, the average dividend payout for growth stocks of all sizes is a paltry 03 percent For large-cap growth stocks, it s still a tiny 08 percent The payout ratio for value stocks the percentage of pro ts that
Fig 5-9 Valuations: Value vs Growth stocks* As this table indicates, growth stocks are far more expensive than value stocks when it comes to traditional valuation measures, such as price/earnings and price/book value ratios
Value Stocks 5-year average price/earnings ratio 5-year average price/book ratio 5-year average price/sales ratio
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