how to generate and scan barcode in asp net using c# Forecasting Methods in Software

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Forecasting Methods
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Forecasting involves dusting off your crystal ball to look at the future and determine if the current status is going to affect the future outcome of the project Several methods can be used to forecast your project:
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Time series methods These methods involve the use of historical data as the basis for estimating the future (for example, earned value, moving average, extrapolation, trend estimating, and various growth curves) Causal/econometric methods These methods make the assumption that it is possible to identify the underlying (root cause) events that may affect the outcome For example, the sales of ski passes are affected by the amount of snowfall at any given time Some examples include linear and nonlinear regression, autoregressive moving average (ARMA), and econometrics Expert judgmental methods These methods use the intuitive judgments of subject matter experts for cost estimates, probability and impact estimates, time estimates, and so on Some tools/techniques used in this type of forecasting are the Delphi method, technology forecasting, and analogy forecasting (top-down from similar previous projects)
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Other methods include simulation modeling, probabilistic forecasting, and ensemble forecasting
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10: Project Communications Management
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Summary of Communications Management
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Remember the importance of good two-way communications Also remember that project managers spend about 90 percent of their time communicating In the world of real estate, the famous motto is location, location, location In the world of project management, the motto should be communication, communication, communication And don t forget the importance of listening To be better communicators we have to learn to listen After all, you were given two ears and only one mouth, so you should listen twice as much as you talk When I first became a PM, I felt that I was not contributing to the work of the project Sure, I was busy scheduling meetings, talking to stakeholders, preparing reports, running the numbers, and keeping track of the budget and schedule, but this didn t feel like real work Then one day a team member said, This project would fall apart without the work you do to organize, coordinate, and communicate what needs to be done It was then I realized my worth on the project and accepted the fact that true project management involves managing the flow of communications, like a conductor of an orchestra So raise your baton and direct your team to success through effective communications management
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References
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1 Michael Starling 2009 webcast on communications 2 Wikipedia, http://enwikipediaorg/wiki/Nonverbal_communication 3 Second Life, http://secondlifecom/whatis/ 4 Princeton Project Methodology Project Communication Plan (rev 10/03/03), http://
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webprincetonedu/sites/ppo/PMCommunicationPlandoc
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5 Michael Starling 2009 webcast 6 Carol Kinsey Goman, PhD Five Body Language Tips From the Presidential
Debates, http://hoducom/debatesshtml
7 Michael Starling 2009 webcast
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Project Risk Management
PMP Certification: A Beginner s Guide
Key Skills & Concepts
Project risk management process Definition of risk (uncertainty) Six risk management processes Three key components of risk Threats and opportunities Risk identification techniques Risk response strategy Probability and impact analysis Risk tolerances and thresholds Expected monetary value Monte Carlo analysis Risk types and categories Contingency plans
isk is often defined as uncertainty (a lack of knowledge about a potential event that can cause a positive or negative impact to the project) As mentioned previously in this book, risk management must be done early and often Risk is always considered to be in the future It can have one or many causes, and often has a cascading effect on other elements of the project Risk management should be conducted as a team It should be planned thoroughly because risk comes in many different flavors and most of the time can leave a very bad taste in your mouth (by costing you the project) The upside is you can minimize risks by following a few simple processes When is the last time your project team sat down and talked about risk We are so focused on specific events and activities on the project that we rarely just talk about risk in general The bad news is, risk is all around us; it is lurking in every corner and can happen at any time Yet, for some reason, proactive risk management is often not formally practiced in projects; it is only discussed after a risk event has occurred
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