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This stock split two for one at $40 a share and ran up to $40 again, all
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within six months. It s just incredible how fast this company is growing. The stock is now at $42 a share, and there s talk of another two-for-one split. It s been great to have more stocks like this one. This is obviously the sound of a happy investor. Stock splits are looked upon as being good news because the price will often continue to increase, given time. However, even though many stock splits are positive, sadly, that is not always the case. Many times the price will soar for the split, only to fall back to previous price levels, adjusted to the split.
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Stock dividends and splits have basically three occurrences: announcement date, record date, and payment date. To qualify for the split, the investor must be the owner on the record date (similar to the ex-date for dividends). Therefore, the stock must be purchased at the appropriate time before the record date to qualify. Announcement Date This can be considered the most important date because it tends to have the greatest positive impact on a stock s price. Even companies that do not react well to a split tend to move initially higher on the announcement.
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Buy the Stock That Splits
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Rumors of a split sometimes leak out ahead of the announcement date, which also tends to push the price higher. Stock split and stock dividend announcements are given to the media (including the Internet) on the announcement date. The company provides all the important details of the split and often a brief history of the company s previous stock splits, which it sends out in the form of a press release. The company considers a forward stock split a positive event and wants to get as much free media publicity as possible. 3M s Positive Split Story The 3M Corporation announced a two-for-one forward split on August 11, 2003. The effective price per share at that time was $70.95. By December 22, 2003, another $15 was added to that price. On 100 shares, that s $1,500; and on 1,000 shares, it s obviously $15,000, not a bad gain for four months. Was it the split alone No, since the Dow was up 188 points, which didn t hurt. But the Dow s increase was not responsible for the entire 3M gain.
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It is not unusual to see some price weakness either after a split announcement or shortly after a payment date. Any number of things can cause a price to drop. For example, speculators could be exiting and taking profits, especially if the price has been flat for a time. Some investors might fear that the price action is over and expect a drop, and they would rather sell too soon than too late. Obviously, others see this price weakness as a buying opportunity, and they are the investors who drive the price upward.
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THEY DON T ALWAYS GO UP
Kronos and ADC Telecommunications Kronos Incorporated stock split three for two in October 2003, and the stock didn t do much of anything. The price rose from $37.00 to nearly $41.00 a share, then dropped like a rock, closing out March 2003 at $32.50. A short chance to make $3 or $4 a share and then go to a losing situation, the Nasdaq index didn t appear to offer any assistance to the price in this specific situation (Figure 22-1).
PART III Strategy
FIGURE
22 1
Kronos Incorporated, January 1999 April 2004
$45.00 $40.00 $35.00 $30.00 $25.00 $20.00 $15.00 $10.00 $5.00 $0.00
1 9 0 1 2 99 99 00 2 3 3 -0 -9 -0 -0 -0 -0 r-0 -0 nnnay ec ec ov ay ov Ap ct Ap Ja Ju Ju M M O D D N N r-0 4
45,000,000 3 for 2 Split Kronos Incorporated Nasdaq: KRON 40,000,000 35,000,000 30,000,000 25,000,000 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 0
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