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because it covers only circumstances such as are presented in history. In theory, there are many more possibilities than that or are there Von Clausewitz notes that a good theory is based on examples from history. Therefore, good theory has the same incompleteness as the list of examples it is based on. A theory that is not based on past examples will lose itself in abstruse disquisitions, subtleties, and chimeras, instead of remaining practical. So coup d oeil sees a combination of elements from history that can be applied in a new situation. As a result, von Clausewitz tells us, an expert can see much more than a novice:
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As the human eye in a dark room dilates its pupil, draws in the little light that there is, partially distinguishes objects by degrees, and at last knows them quite well, so it is in War with the experienced soldier, whilst the novice is only met by pitch dark night.
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So the more history you know, the more of the truth you see. Yet in the end, that truth is still limited because it is based only on what the expert knows from past achievements in the field rather than on all theoretical possibilities. But good theory is itself based on past achievement, so the expert s truth is not so limited after all. The advantages of this method are that any theory so used must come from real examples, not chimeras. The limited truth of coup d oeil leads straight to another element of expert intuition: resolution. Von Clausewitz defines resolution as removing the torments of doubt . . . when there are no sufficient motives for guidance. Coup d oeil shows you what course of action to take, but its limited truth comes with plenty of flaws and uncertainties. You need resolve in order to engage in a strategy and stick to it, despite the obstacles and arguments against it. So far we have found three of the key elements of expert intuition in On War: coup d oeil, past examples, and resolution. Here is the fourth, presence of mind:
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From the coup d oeil and resolution we are naturally led to speak of its kindred quality, presence of mind, which in a region of the unexpected like War must act a great part, for it is indeed nothing but a great conquest over the unexpected. . . . The expression
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presence of mind certainly denotes very fitly the readiness and rapidity of the help rendered by the mind.
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In order for coup d oeil to work, the mind must be ready for the unexpected, which of course is a paradox: How can you expect the unexpected What von Clausewitz means is, don t expect anything. Good theory, based on past examples, arms you for battle but does not necessarily require to be a direction for action. It does not tell you what to do. Good theory builds learning through the generations, so that each person in succession may not have to go through the same labor of clearing the ground and toiling through his subject, but may find the thing in order, and light admitted on it. But in action, you leave theory behind. Theory should guide the future leader in self-instruction, but not accompany him to the field of battle; just as a sensible tutor forms and enlightens the opening mind of a youth without, therefore, keeping him in leading strings all through his life. Presence of mind means being ready for the unexpected by mastering theory and then clearing it from your mind as you enter the field of battle. Theory based on past examples offers a guide, not a director for action. The specific action is always unexpected. Coup d oeil, examples from history, resolution, and presence of mind: These are the four elements of expert intuition as found in von Clausewitz. Yet among the four, coup d oeil stands out above the others:
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This facile coup d oeil of the General, this simple art of forming notions, this personification of the whole action of War, is so entirely and completely the soul of the right method of conducting War, that in no other but this broad way is it possible to conceive that freedom of the mind which is indispensable if it is to dominate events, not be overpowered by them.
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We see that the other elements support coup d oeil, like three legs beneath the seat of a stool. Presence of mind makes you ready for coup d oeil, examples from history give coup d oeil its content, and resolution puts coup d oeil in action. But all four are essential. Without the other three elements, coup d oeil is
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