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34 T H E A R T O F E X P E R T I N T U I T I O N
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tain pieces of evidence and not others, and resolution helps you carry through despite the lack of proof. Sometimes the evidence doesn t even fit your existing equipment, so you adjust the equipment to fit the evidence. Then you give the new measurement a new name, often that of the first scientist to use it: an ohm, a watt, a curie, or a volt. These measures represent new combinations of past measures (such as wavelength, time, mass, or temperature) to suit the results at hand. Kuhn tells us that normal science gives way to revolution when a new achievement overturns past theory rather than simply adding to it. But even here Kuhn stresses continuity with the past:
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Novelty for its own sake is not a desideratum in the sciences as it is in so many other creative fields. As a result, though new paradigms seldom or never possess all the capabilities of their predecessors, they usually preserve a great deal of the most concrete parts of past achievements.
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In practical terms, then, even great revolutions in science build on the past. For example, Copernicus showed that the planets go around the sun, not the earth. Yet his breakthrough led to little change in the daily work of most astronomers. He gave new calculations for only seven heavenly bodies: the sun, the moon, and the five known planets. For the multitude of stars, the old calculations remained intact. The stars are so far away that it hardly matters whether you measure their movement from the sun or from the earth. Naval academies still taught celestial navigation using the old calculations with the earth at the center of the universe until computers took over navigation in the late 1990s. The continuity of past achievement in science is the basis of expert intuition, and that intuition also speeds achievement. Like Napoleon, scientists choose battles that they can win, or, as Kuhn puts it, the scientist aims to concentrate his attention on problems that he has good reason to believe he will be able to solve. But the same is not true for scholars of the social world, including business. Kuhn notes this contrast between natural and social scientists:
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An Eye for What Works
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The latter often tend, as the former almost never do, to defend their choice of a research problem . . . chiefly in terms of the social importance of achieving a solution. Which group would one then expect to solve problems at a more rapid rate
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Social scientists, like Jomini, choose those battles that they judge it most important to win. Thus, they set their goal first and then look for ways to reach it. Natural scientists, like Napoleon, choose battles that their expert intuition tells them they have a chance to win. Successful business strategists do the same thing, as later chapters show.
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East Meets West
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Last but not least, we can find a strain of expert intuition in both Western and Eastern philosophy. In the West, expert intuition shows up in pragmatism. The Oxford English Dictionary gives this definition of pragmatism:
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Theory that advocates dealing with social and political problems primarily by practical methods adapted to the existing circumstances, rather than by methods which have been conformed to some ideology.
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That is, a pragmatist chooses a strategy based on its chance of success, not on whether it fits a certain theory. Expert intuition applies this kind of pragmatism to strategy of all kinds, not just political and social problems. The clearest statement of pragmatic philosophy comes from William James in the early twentieth century.25 In Pragmatism, James wrote that the Pragmatic method is fully armed and militant against rationalism. Pragmatism has no dogmas or doctrines, but rather chooses among dogmas and doctrines at will. And James uses a vivid image for how the choice happens: Pragmatism lies in the midst of our theories, like a corridor in a hotel. For any particular problem or situation, you stroll up and down the corridor, looking into each room. When you see a theory
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