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Here, Bennis comes closer to the art of what works. An attainable vision sounds like a battle that you see a way to win. You make that vision, or the way you will win that battle, so palpable that others see it, too. But where does the vision come from To Bennis, vision is a talent of superb people with original minds, who see things differently and have skills that help solve important problems and discover interesting things. They want to do the new, next thing not rehash the old. We re back to that erratic goddess, imagination. But this is an easy mistake to make. If you don t know what to look for, expert intuition can seem like a gift of the gods rather than something that is based on the past achievements of ordinary human beings. It s magic, until you know the secret. So perhaps the Great Groups that Bennis cites did succeed through the art of what works. Let s look at three of his cases, to see. The first is Apple Computer and the Macintosh. We have already seen how Jobs had his coup d oeil on a visit to Xerox. Bennis puts this episode at the heart of his tale. So the Great Group at Apple had its big breakthrough thanks to expert intuition. A second case is the Manhattan Project at Los Alamos, New Mexico.5 There, Robert Oppenheimer put together a Great Group to build the first atomic bomb before Nazi Germany could beat them to it. So how did this Great Group start Enrico Fermi was one of several scientists, including Albert Einstein, who alerted President Roosevelt in writing that Hitler could exploit current scientific knowledge on atomic energy to build a bomb. As a result, Roosevelt authorized the Manhattan Project. It started in September 1942, with Fermi in charge. Oppenheimer took over in October, to free Fermi for work in his lab at the University of Chicago. In November, Oppenheimer selected Los Alamos, New Mexico, as the main research site. On December 2, Fermi created the world s first chain reaction. Four days later, construction began at Los Alamos. The Great Group arrived there 3 months later, in March 1943. What gave the Great Group its vision Fermi s success 3 months before. And the speed of Fermi s achievement meant that
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116 T H E A D V A N T A G E O F E X P E R T I N T U I T I O N
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he mostly used current knowledge. Oppenheimer s team did the same, as they solved the giant puzzle of turning Fermi s device into a bomb. They succeeded in only 2 years. So the Manhattan Project was a classic case of the art of what works. Our third case is Disney. Bennis tells us that the story of how Disney s classic Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs was made is a paradigm of a Great Group at work, creating something wonderful and new. And it all started with a vision.6 Snow White was certainly wonderful it was the first fulllength animated film. But was it so new And where did the vision to make it come from Walt Disney s imagination or past achievement Bennis reports that Disney had the vision on a trip to Europe in 1928. In Paris, he found a movie theater showing successful programs of Mickey Mouse cartoons, one after the other, without any feature film. That gave him the idea of making an animated feature film. He wanted to do more than put together a string of short cartoons. That had been done. Instead, Disney wanted to create a wonderful, full-length animated feature. That was new, and he was positive that distributors would pay handsomely for it. Right away, we see success: An audience is paying money to sit through a full-length animated show. Disney wanted to do it again and again, to build on that success. Distributors paid much more for full-length films than for short cartoons, so here was a way to make more money. In fact, Disney lost money for years on cartoon shorts. The first one to turn a profit was Three Little Pigs in 1933. But wait: If Disney had a vision of Snow White in 1928, why did it take him so long to make it Snow White came out in 1937. In 1928, he had enough short cartoons to equal the length of a feature film. In just a few months, he could have made a long film with exactly the same technology. Why did it take him 9 years to make Snow White, from the vision in 1928 to its completion in 1937 It didn t. Disney s vision of full-length films might have come in 1928, but the vision that led to Snow White came in 1934. It was a classic coup d oeil, based on past achievement.
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